The Paedophile Witch-Hunt

 General, Media  No Responses »
Nov 162012
 

Way back in the 15th, and 16th centuries there was an outbreak of mass hysteria where in many instances the mere accusation of a crime could very well result in finding yourself tied to a stake with a bonfire burning around your feet. The crime? Well it is arguably the case that the victims tended to be inconvenient women – women of power, individuality, or just a trifle too odd for a misogynist. Ignoring the so-called crime itself, there is a great deal of similarity between the hysteria surrounding those ancient witchcraft panics, and the modern day paedophilia panics.

Although paedophilia is a real and serious crime –  in fact because paedophilia is such a serious crime – we need to be very careful about accusations of paedophilia. An accusation is enough to do irreparable damage to a person’s reputation, career, marriage, or even life. Which sounds a reasonable enough start at a punishment for a paedophile, but an accusation doesn’t mean someone is guilty. Again, again (although it is interesting how this story has been inflated over the years), again, again, again, again, again, again,  and again, those who take the law into their own hands have been shown to make mistakes.

And last week with the combination of old media (Newsnight) and new media managed to “name and shame” a totally innocent party: Lord McAlpine. His supposed victim has since indicated that he was mistaken about the identity of his abuser, and that it was not Lord McAlpine. Newsnight managed to “leak” enough information for other parties (the “new media” bloggers) to figure out the name.

No matter how serious the crime, an alleged perpetrator is entitled to present a defence; indeed under British justice an accuser has to demonstrate beyond reasonable doubt that the perpetrator is guilty. And “trial by twitter” is certainly not a fair system of justice.

Of course none of this means we should be taking accusations by the victims any less seriously. Such a victim may well misidentify the perpetrator for all sorts of possible reasons, but that does not mean the crime has not taken place. An accusation needs to be properly investigated to identify the real perpetrator(s), and done in such a way that any potential perpetrators who have been shown to be innocent do not suffer in any way.

Misidentifying an attacker may sound the kind of thing that is pretty unlikely, but is hardly impossible. As an example, within the city I live there used to be someone who looked enough like me for a significant number of people to walk up to me and have a long conversation without realising they were talking to the wrong person.

The Alternative Olympics Medal Table

 General, Politics  No Responses »
Aug 042012
 

This is being written during the games, so the table is at a certain point in time; I will update once the Olympics have finished … and make it more complete, but the point stands.

Whilst the Olympics is not really about statistics, those of us with that perversion do tend to want to see the numbers. And every time the Olympics comes around, I get slightly irritated by the medal tables that appear. The headline medal tables simply rank countries in order of the number of medals their athletes have won, which is a spectacularly dumb way of ranking countries – with most other metrics there is the option of looking at deaths per thousand people, etc.

At present the standard medal table is led by China and the US. Both are enormous countries, so of course they get a lot of medals. And indeed the people in the US are probably saying that the US is outperforming China by the simple fact that it has pretty much the same number of medals despite being ¼ of the size! And that is quite right – so why do we not have a table of countries ranked by the population per medal – i.e. if a country has 50 gold medals, and 5,000,000 people then there is one gold medal per 100,000 people. If we do a table for that, we get some very different results :-

Rank Country Gold medals Population Population per medal
1 Great Britain 10 62m 6.2m
2 USA 21 314m 15m
3 China 20 1339m 67m

These results are very different and there very well may be other surprises if the full medal table is calculated. There are those who might claim this is a simple trick to get the UK on the top of the medal table, but it is not as simple as that … indeed this alternative medal table may well be helpful to larger countries. After all it shows that despite their total medal haul, they are not doing nearly as well as they should do!

Where Are All The UK’s Medals?

 General  2 Responses »
Aug 012012
 

Anyone would think that there is some sort of drastic failure on the part of the UK’s athletes, given a certain amount of consternation at the current UK medal haul, and with odious examples such as the idiot who chastised Tom Daley for his “failure”.

Perhaps the current medal haul could be better (as of writing, 2 golds, 2 silvers, and 4 bronzes), but those athletes who have not managed a medal up until now (despite expectations) have not failed in the conventional sense of the word. And this is not the old mythical English “It’s not the winning but the taking part that counts” rubbish.

What is easy to overlook is that an athlete who comes fourth in an Olympic competition may have failed to win gold, but has also succeeded in their chosen sport far more than we could. Or to put it another way, fourth best in the world means that someone is on the fourth step of a staircase 6 billion steps high, so that athlete who failed to get gold, silver, or bronze is still so far out of sight of the rest of us that we can’t see him (or her).

It is also easy to overlook that the difference between step 4 and step 3 on that 6 billion step staircase is tiny; sufficiently small that it is easy for an athlete on a less than perfect day to slip down a step or two.

We should be congratulating the UK’s athletes whether they get a medal or not.

And if you are still obsessed with the numbers of medals, look into the total that Europe has obtained as a whole. As a hint, China would not be in the top position.

Flaunt The Flakes!

 General  No Responses »
Jul 302012
 

If you haunt psoriasis self-help sites – which is worth doing if you happen to have it – you will often come across the standard advice of avoiding wearing dark coloured clothing (such as here, here or here). This is obviously to avoid showing up the inevitable skin flakes, and is to some extent quite sensible. After all a flurry of skin flakes cascading down black clothing (as I almost always wear) is not exactly subtle, and will make people wonder if you have something nasty.

And given that most of the damage associated with psoriasis is associated with how we feel society may react to the news we have a loathsome skin condition, it is hardly surprising that people want to hide it.

But perhaps that is the wrong way – perhaps we should be letting the flakes show up, and if people react as if we ought to be wearing sack-cloth clothing, ringing a bell, and shouting “Unclean” as we walk around, then fuck ’em.

Public Sector and Private Sector

 General, Politics  No Responses »
Jul 272012
 

For what seems like most of my life, the conventional political wisdom has been in favour of the private sector and against the public sector. The private sector is seen as somehow inherently more efficient than the bureaucratic and inefficient public sector. Somehow the idea that the profit motive means that the private sector can provide services for cheaper than the public sector.

Of course the private sector can provide services cheaper when it slashes the wages of workers to the bone, and minimises the amount of work that gets carried out. At the place where I work, cleaning services were contracted out a long time ago so that cleaning is now carried out by workers aiming to meet the terms of a contact rather than being there to clean. The difference? Workers employed to clean, will often perform acts of cleaning that may or may not be spelt out in a cleaning contract – the types of cleaning that only need to get done once a year such as perhaps quickly wiping off the tops of doors, or scrubbing the marks off door handles.

There has been a bit of a change over the last few years – more and more stories about the failures of the private sector, and in the latest case where G4S failed abysmally to provide security for the Olympic games, the public sector had to pick up the pieces. As someone from the police pointed out: “We don’t have the option of giving up and going home.”

There are other failures too ranging from the widespread failure in the world banking sector, to failures that occur at such small scale that they only really impact at the local level – such as the financial mismanagement at my local football club. In such situations, there are three choices – either let the failed business collapse and live without the services that it provided, wait for the private sector to rescue the remains, or to rescue it by public sector intervention.

In the worst cases of failure where society believes it cannot live without the services (such as banking), it is always the public sector that rescues the business.

Or to put it another way, the private sector may only be more efficient than the public sector if the costs of the final bailout are not accounted for. In many cases, public sector inefficiency may be taking into account that the public sector does not have the opportunity to give up and walk away. And this is all assuming that the private sector actually is more efficient.

We have been told again and again by the economic conservatives that the private sector is more efficient, but with examples such as the NHS, is it really so ? We have faith that the private sector is more efficient, and I suppose there may well be some evidence too. But in all cases? Perhaps not.

There is nothing wrong with the private sector; there is nothing wrong with the public sector. We need to stop demonising the public sector and assuming that the private sector is our saviour in all circumstances.

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