Feb 102014
 

So I’ve heard about this strange Bitcoin stuff for ages, but never found the time to look into it, until now. It cropped up at work, s I thought I should get acquainted. And this blog posting is an expression of my level of understanding, so it could well be wrong in places.

Certainly don’t take any of this as financial advice!

Bitcoin is a digital cash currency, but what does that mean?

Well the “cash” bit is understandable; it is normally expressed as a ‘peer-to-peer’ currency but essentially I hand over to you a certain number of bitcoins in exchange some agreed goods or services. Just the same as if I paid you in an ordinary currency in the form of cash.

It is a bit more complex than that as transactions have to be computationally confirmed. Or to put it another way, once you transfer the bitcoins, the transfer has to be independently verified which takes some time. The average seems to be about 8 minutes. So not quite the same as cash then; on the other hand it should be as anonymous as cash – perhaps even more so.

The “currency” bit is a tad more controversial. There’s more than a few governments that declare that bitcoins aren’t a currency but behaves more like a commodity (like gold). Of course they may be speaking with a forked tongue, or simply warning of the dangers of using bitcoins. Fundamentally a currency is a medium of exchange – so if you can find something to buy with your bitcoins, or you are prepared to sell goods or services for bitcoins, it is a currency for you.

Lastly the “digital” bit is where it can get a bit complex, so I won’t be trying. To put it very briefly, a bitcoin is a long string of digits that has been “discovered” (or more accurately mined) according to some complex calculation and then independently verified. It also includes details of all previous transactions that have occurred. The obvious question here is how is it that bitcoins cannot be forged?

There is no answer to that question without getting involved in the details of how bitcoins work computationally, but it is commonly held to be impossible without access to enough computational power to overwhelm the combined computational power of the bitcoin miners.

The Bitcoin “Bubble”?

In conventional economics a bubble is essentially some activity that becomes massively over valued and eventually loses it’s value. Examples include the South Sea Bubble, and the dot-com bubble. There are those who claim that bitcoin shares characteristics with famous historical bubbles, which is a very easy thing to say.

After all, no bubble is a bubble until it has been popped; at least in economics.

The trouble is that bitcoins are essentially worth what people agree they are worth. If everyone turned around tomorrow and agreed that they were worthless, you wouldn’t be able to spend them.

Which makes them the same as practically all modern currencies – the pound, the dollar, the euro. They are all backed not by silver or gold, but people’s confidence. Bitcoins are subject to much larger fluctuations than ordinary currencies which is at least partially a result of the small size of the bitcoins marketplace and the effect of external events such as China banning bitcoins.

The Wallet

To make use of bitcoins, you need a wallet to put them into. This is essentially an application that processes bitcoin transactions and keeps a record of how many bitcoins there are in the wallet. Full-blown wallets (such as one of the earliest – Bitcoin-QT) keep a full record of the bitcoin transactions to fully verify bitcoins; mobile wallets are less capable. Whilst there are still protections in mobile wallets, you may wish to be less trusting with mobile wallets until you know more about this than I do!

Once you have a wallet fully set up – which can take several days due to the large number of transactions it needs to download – you can start using it. Of course initially it will be empty, so you will be unable to buy anything, but you will be able to set up addresses for people to send you bitcoins which will look like 16hQid2ddoCwHDWN9NdSnARAfdXc2Shnoa.

Yes that’s a real address – it’s my “donation” address – and you are more than welcome to send me a coin or two. Or more realistically a tiny fraction of a coin.

Once you have something in your wallet, you can send bitcoins to addresses like the one above … or perhaps another address in return for something useful!

Mining Bitcoins

Previous sections have indicated that there is something called “mining” and that a great deal of computational power is behind the workings of the bitcoin network. Numerous volunteers contrib computer power – almost always using special hardware to do so – in the hope of making money.

Can you make money? Yes, but probably not enough to pay for the increased electricity bill and almost certainly not enough to pay back the initial hardware investment. People who got into mining earlier may have made a bit of money – when you could effectively mine with ordinary computer power, but unless you are prepared to invest many thousands of pounds on a regular basis it is unlikely that you will see anything like a reasonable return.

And this is probably bitcoin’s biggest weakness. The bitcoin network needs miners to validate all of the transactions that go on, and in the future, there may be a lack of volunteers if the return is not reasonable.

But of course I might be discouraging you as I’m mining a bit myself – and the more miners there are, the fewer bitcoins there are for me 🙂

Feb 062014
 

The train line at Dawlish has collapsed after the recent storms (early February 2014) – details here.

Having travelled that part of the railway several times, I can say that the train line just there was always vulnerable and this sort of damage was pretty inevitable. Of course it needs to be repaired whatever happens.

However in the long run, it is time to think of moving the train line somewhere further inland. Fantastically expensive of course, but quite possibly cheaper than doing a patch up every time a storm washes away the line over the next 100 years.

Feb 022014
 

The recent Italian court verdict has found that Amanda Knox is guilty of murdering Meredith Kercher together with her accomplices, Raffaele Sollecito and Rudy Guede. One of the accomplices is in prison, and the other is in Italy so it is unlikely that he will escape imprisonment but what about Amanda Knox?

The key fact here is that a court one assumes to be reasonably competent has found Amanda Knox guilty of murder.

So she is a murderer on the run.

You may believe she is innocent, but is that because you have taken a long hard look at the evidence and made a considered judgement? Or is it because she looks cute? Or because you have certain prejudices about the justice systems in foreign countries?

 

Jan 282014
 

So I learnt today that Pete Seeger has died, and was somewhat surprised to hear the one line obituary only mentioned his 1960s protest songs.

It is somewhat understandable because just about everyone knows a Pete Seeger song even if they don’t know the name. His protest songs (and protest songs he popularised) were covered by others before, during and after the 1960s.

But he was more than that. He was also a deeply committed political activist from the 1930s all the way through to his death. With his banjo labelled “This Machine Surrounds Hate and Forces It to Surrender”, Covering issues such as racism, fascism, environmentalism, and war, he was one of the few people of whom you could say: “When the barricades go up, if you’re not on his side of the barricade, you’re probably on the wrong side”.

If you work through the list of awards he received during his lifetime on the Wikipedia article (link at the top), the ones for music leap out at you. But if you look closer, only 1/2 are directly for music; many are for his activism or children’s writing.

There was a lot more to Pete Seeger than just a few popular folk songs.

“There is hope for the world.”

Jan 272014
 

I’m old enough enough to remember the tail end of the real cold war between the West and the old Soviet Union when we were waving nuclear missiles at each other. And threatening each other with nuclear annihilation.

So it is a bit of an exaggeration to speak of a new cold war when the threat is nowhere near as apocalyptic. But if you take a look at how the old cold war was fought – with espionage, and signals intelligence – you begin to realise we do have a new cold war. Intelligence agencies around the world are cooperating in fighting against a new enemy.

Us.

Oh, they’ll defend themselves by saying that it’s not the normal man or woman in the street they are worried about, but but the terrorists in our midst they are targeting. But to do that they have to spy on us.

They’ll say that they are not spying on the people in their own country; just on those sneaky foreigners. But when GCHQ spies on US citizens, they pass the information they obtain to the NSA; and the NSA passes information on their spying activities to GCHQ.

Which means that what little protection we have against our own intelligence agencies spying on us is effectively meaningless.